Oil politics
February 20th, 2009 at 05:44pm
Under China Oil+ Middle East+ Oil+ Oil Price 2010+ Oil politics+ Production levels
From next year a lack of oil arise as the world economy recovers from the current deep recession.
This is said by the chief executive of the International Energy Agency (IEA) Nobuo Tanaka, he states that oil producers are investing too little in new projects with current market circumstances.
”The demand for oil is very low because of the extremely poor economic conditions. But if the recovery quick, likely first signals occur after 2010, we face a serious supply problem, if the investments do not increase’’said Tanaka.
Oil Projects
The members of oil cartel OPEC said earlier this month that they are disappointed, because of demand for oil thirty-five of all new oil projects are set on the long term.
Tanaka expects oil demand will grow next year by 1 percent, thanks to the recovery of growth in emerging economies like China and India. This year, the need for oil by the global recession is likely(for sure) lower than a year earlier.
Production
The chief executive of French oil group Total, Christophe De Margerie, warned Monday in the British newspaper Financial Times that oil producers already are near their production levels. Worldwide, the crude oil production is never higher than 89 million barrels per day. These are four million barrels per day less than he previously thought. The current demand for oil is about 84 million barrels per day. The IEA expects that the long term oil need for 2030 will certainly have grown to 100 million barrels per day.
Tension
According to De Margerie, the companies limited by the high cost of new projects, for example, in Canada and the continued political tensions in Iran and Iraq.
The current low oil revenues, according to him not only at the expense of new projects. They shall also ensure that existing projects are more likely to be stopped because it is too expensive they are longer in operation.
By Oilism.com
January 21st, 2009 at 05:31am
Under China Oil+ Middle East+ OPEC+ Oil Price 2009+ Oil and gas+ Oil politics+ Russian Oil & Gas
By signing the gas agreement between Russia and Ukraine the oil price fell back sharply. The price of a barrel of U.S. light crude oil now hovers around 34 dollars, a decrease of over 7 percent with earlier this week.
In December 2008, crude oil prices fell for the first time since the summer of 2004 under the 40 dollar per barrel barrier. In July 2008, oil prices showed a record of more than 147 dollars a barrel.
The oil price now strongly react on the developments in the Middle East and the gas conflict between Russia and Ukraine. According to the Ukrainian Prime Minister Julia Timosjenko Russian gas will continue to flow to Ukraine and other European customers as from yesterday.
Credit Crisis & Oil demand
The oil price falls due a weakening oil demand. After 25 years of growth, the demand for oil in 2008 decreased by 0.3 percent. The International Energy Agency (IEA) has estimated that the worldwide oil demand in 2009 will fall further, probably by 0.6 percent.
For 2009, the IEA expects we will see a bottom in the oil demand, lowering with 940,000 barrels of crude oil per day to 85.3 million in total. “It’s the biggest change in our estimate over the last couple of years,” said David Fyfe of the IEA chief marketing officer.
In earlier reports, the institute published a growth for 2009 in oil demand after the losses of 2008, this mainly based upon the increasing demand of the emerging economies. But, these estimates are now showing that the Chinese oil demand will grow with just 90,000 barrels a day, which is the lowest increase in eight years time.
By Oilism.com
January 7th, 2009 at 05:43am
Under Oil Price 2009+ Oil and gas+ Oil business+ Oil politics+ Russian Oil & Gas
KIEV – On Wednesday Russia shut down all gas deliveries intended for the European market through the pipelines in the Ukraine because of the gas conflict between Kiev and Moscow.
This is said by the Ukrainian national gas company Naftogaz. About 80 percent of Russian natural gas that is destined for Europe passes through pipelines in Ukraine.
Czech Republic
The Czech Republic is without any Russian gas. Local news agency CTK reported Wednesday all supplies of Russian gas are interrupted. Gas company RWE Transgas has taken steps to increase imports from Norway to help people who are trapped without gas.
Austria & Romania
Austria also announced Wednesday that all gas supplies from Russia are stopped. Futher more Romania reported not receiving any more gas from Russia since Wednesday. Tuesday, the gas supplies to Romania were already down by 75 percent.
Supplies
Gazprom chief executive Alexei Miller said Tuesday that if the Ukraine does not pass the gas to Europe, there is no point supplying this country with gas. Kiev and Moscow are arguing over an unpaid gas bill and the gas prices in general. Three years ago, Russia turned off the gas tap to Ukraine due a similar dispute.
Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko asked Russia in a letter to President Dmitri Medvedev to resume gas deliveries to European countries immediately.
Criticism EU summit on Russian oil conflict
José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission, thinks it is unacceptable that Russia stopped supplying oil & gas to Western Europe. Barroso said this today after consultations with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who joined in the criticism against Russia.
Especially German and Polish refineries are the victims of the oil conflict. Russia closed yesterday by the oil Belarus to these countries. In a package of proposals from the European Commission, which will be presented tomorrow, has been clear that the EU should take action to reduce the reliance on Russia as an energy supplier. Half of the oil in Europe comes from Russia. According to a report, the European economy will crash sooner or later when the energy policies are not drastically changed. Barroso askes for joint energy policy in Europe.
By Oilism.com
December 23rd, 2007 at 06:41pm
Under Crude oil+ OPEC+ Oil+ Oil Theory+ Oil industry+ Oil politics
This is word that has hiding meaning with it which is sometimes coined as the hidden foreign policy of United states that has helped the US dollar to remain the world’ main currency in international trade and in which the oil is priced. It is also sometimes termed as oil currency war. This single most policy of United States have kept US in fore front of many international decisions and made US a world leader for last many decades.
There is a thought that the petrodollar warfare has kept the US dollar as world currency because some main commodities like oil and natural gases is traded in dollar and if the denomination of trading oil and gases is moved to any other currency like pound then most countries will start selling their dollar reserves bringing a quick shift in the US dollar price. Once the price of dollar goes down it will directly hurt the US economy bringing a rise in inflation and many other economic determinants. US administration officials are scared that if the denomination of oil is changed then that’s going to literally damage the position of US in international politics. This fear of loosing status was supposed to be main reason behind the US invasion in Iraq since Iraqi administration had changed the currency to trade oil from dollar to Euro in late 2000 but that was later again revoked in 2003 after the invasion.
The oil price and US dollar seem to be inversely proportional in times. Once the oil prices start rising the dollar goes down as when dollar strengthens it lowers the price of oil and viceversa. SO that makes United States in position which can determine the role of oil in its favor by using undermined policies. The physical location of major oil reserves too has determining factor in this industry so United States always has tries to keep a hold on currency that the whole industry is trading with.
By Oilism.com
December 23rd, 2007 at 06:33pm
Under China Oil+ Crude oil+ Historical oil prices+ Middle East+ OPEC+ Oil+ Oil politics+ Oil price+ Production levels
The price of oil was well low at $25/barrel in late 2003 but jumped to double at whooping $60/barrel in the mid 2005. There was an uncontrolled change in the price of oil in most of times since 2005 to 2006 with some high and downs but settled at around $50-$60/barel in the early 2007. But this was not enough so it raised more above the price of $92/barrel in late 207 and ended up at about $99.29 in NYMEX futures in November end of 2007.
This clearly shows that oil prices has been increasing by passing years and the price tag of $100/’ barrel is clear to cross in the year 2008. Perhaps the price may increase above that if there are political conflicts in Middle East or any more OPEC production cuts. This uncertainty in the oil prices shows the indication of inflation of 1980 which was led to an economic recession. There are many philosophies that has attributed that US economic and political factors like UR-Iran conflict, North Korea Missile Launch, Israel- Lebanon crisis and decreasing US oil reserves are some determine factors of international oil prices.
There are many reasons to decrease in supply of oil that is main factor being increasing oil prices. The demands and supply policy of economics makes it true as if when ever the oil supplying countries like Iran and Saudi Arabia cut down the oil supplies then that is going to bring a surge in price in international market. The conflict in Middle East is the major reason behind this and even outside Middles East countries like Venezuela and other African countries producing oil have been facing local unrest like strikes and civil wars that has forced for decrease in oil supplies. Moreover the increasing terrorism by certain faction of people in oil rich countries has added to this price increase of oil.
A recent survey shows that the total supply of oil in recent times is 83 million barrel per day which is more than any other time in the history but the speculation that the a major Peak oil situation is nearing and a reducing oil supply is just in the near future has created a panic situation in the international market. Few secondary factors like OPEC supply cut and decreased value of dollar is too important reason for sudden increase in oil prices.
By Oilism.com
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